The pessimism of the Israeli
intelligence
Usually the news noys are not very
encouraging, at least the items that are being pushed down our
throats day and night, or 'every hour on the hour' (as the famous CNN
slogan goes). However when one reads the 'fine print', one sees that
which the Jewish 'western media' does not focus upon. And that which
is not focused upon in that "western media" is more likely than not
good news, at least from our perspective.
According to an article in "Maarev" (an
Israeli newspaper), issue of April 13th, 2000, it summarized the
pessimistic picture that the Israeli Intelligence sources have
painted after the deteriorating "peace process" with the Syrians, the
same "deterioration" that now is spreading to all fronts as the
following:
Iran: Its economy is getting better,
there is no change as far as Khatami's position towards Israel, it is
building up its army and going ahead with its attempts to increase
its un-traditional combat capabilities.
Hizb Allah: Intensifies its training,
which in turn has increased in un-precedented fashion its military
support to it, a support that is expected to increase (passing
through Syria) in the next few months. It has every intention to
escalate its attacks against Israeli military targets in South of
Lebanon even after Israeli withdrawal.
Egypt: Although trying to keep a
basic minimum of 'good' relations with Israel, is also going ahead in
its build up of its army, with un-precedented US aid!
Jordan: In its "non allied" policy,
is following a cautious 'wait and see' approach, a 'friendly' country
with its king attempting to keep its relations with Israel on 'low
heat' while strengthening his country's ties with the Arabic
countries.
Iraq: Is regaining and developing its
strength anew, its economy is somewhat recovering. And if the
sanctions were to be lifted all together, then within few years it
will be capable of coming back as a 'dangerous' country with nuclear
capabilities. It uses the help of highly advanced western countries,
and highly paid western advisors, as far as Saddam's regime, it seems
stable at the moment.
The Palestinians: Yasser Arafat is
determined now more than ever to declare unilaterally an
"independent" Palestinian State, a matter which could lead to a
violent dispute between the Israelis and the Palestinians. This
declaration is to be expected within the near future if no new
breakthroughs are to be achieved on the Palestinian/Israeli
negotiations.
"Terrorism":
1)
inside Palestine, Hamas (the Islamic resistance movement) is
restructuring itself, with an increasing co-operation with the
Israeli Arabs.
2)
outside Palestine, 3 of Hamas's leaders who were expelled from Jordan
are going in and out of Syria freely, however without establishing
their head-quarters there.
It is interesting, very interesting
indeed, that the Israelis see our strength, and consequently fear us
as the real danger -that we are- to their un-just and colonial
presence in our midst, more so than we ourselves are willing to
realize. When I say "we" however, I mean our ruling so called elite,
our politicians, and worst of all our so called
intelligentsia.
I think they fear us yes, but not just
because of what they listed in their "Maariv", which could be very
much true, but basically and fundamentally because as Yasser Arafat
(the old Yasser, the Yasser before "Soha Arafat"!, and Oslo) said it
a long time ago: "history is on our side, we have a just cause, and
history has always proved time and again to be on the side of those
with a just cause".
Bent Misr
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