WATCHING THE WARHEADS
The risks to Pakistan's nuclear
arsenal
By Seymour M. Hersh
The New Yorker, issue of November 5, 2005
Excerpt:
The crisis may bring into play the élite
unit, operating under Pentagon control with C.I.A. assistance,
whose mission it is to destroy nuclear facilities, past and
present government officials told me. "They're good," one
American said. "If they screw up, they die. They've had good
success in proving the negative"—that is, in determining that
suspected facilities were not nuclear-related.
The American team is apparently getting help from Israel's most
successful special-operations unit, the storied Sayeret Matkal,
also known as Unit 262, a deep-penetration unit that has been
involved in assassinations, the theft of foreign
signals-intelligence materials, and the theft and destruction of
foreign nuclear weaponry. Sayeret Matkal's most memorable
operation took place in June, 1976, when Lieutenant Colonel
Jonathon Netanyahu, brother of the future Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu, led a team that stormed a hijacked Air
France airliner that was forced down by Palestinian terrorists
at Entebbe International Airport, in Uganda, after taking off
from Tel Aviv with two hundred and fifty-seven passengers.
Jonathon Netanyahu was killed in the raid, along with two of the
hostages, but the operation is still considered one of the most
successful and audacious in modern history. Members of the
Israeli unit arrived in the United States a few days after
September 11th, an informed source said, and as of last week
were training with American special-forces units at undisclosed
locations.
In recent weeks, the Administration has been reviewing and
"refreshing" its contingency plans. Such operations depend on
intelligence, however, and there is disagreement within the
Administration about the quality of the C.I.A.'s data. The
American intelligence community cannot be sure, for example,
that it knows the precise whereabouts of every Pakistani
warhead—or whether all the warheads that it has found are real.
"They've got some dummy locations," an official told me. "You
only get one chance, and then you've tried and failed. The cat
is out of the bag."
Some senior officials say they remain confident that the
intelligence community can do its job, despite the efforts of
the Pakistani Army to mask its nuclear arsenal. "We'd be
challenged to manage the problem, but there is contingency
planning for that possibility," one Bush military adviser told
me last week. "We can't exclude the possibility that the
Pakistanis could make it harder for us to act on what we know,
but that's an operational detail. We're going to have to work
harder to get to it quickly. We still have some good access."
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